June 2021 Senedd election
All 60 seats to the Senedd Cymru
31 seats needed for a majority
The June 2021 Senedd election was held on 4 June 2021 to elect 60 members to the Senedd Cymru. Welsh Labour, the leading governing party before the election slightly decreased their vote, but won an additional seat. The opposition Welsh Conservatives managed to win a narrow plurality of votes, despite winning less seats than Labour, while the Welsh Liberal Democrats more than doubled their vote, winning a total of 12 seats. Plaid Cymru suffered a slight swing against them, losing 3.5% when considering both Plaid Cymru's vote and all the parties last election that have since merged into Plaid. Democratiaid Cymru, who contested as the Welsh Progressives at the last election, managed to increase their vote, winning a seat in each region. The extraparliamentary Cardigan Community Healthcare Advocates Party did not manage to win a seat, but won 1.5% of the vote across Wales.
Following the December 2020 Senedd election, a "government of national unity" was formed, led by independent MS Greejatus, who won 32 votes in the First Minister election from the Conservatives, Libertarians, Liberal Democrats and Welsh Workers' Party. After the merger of Plaid Cymru and the Welsh Greens, the Greens' sole MS antier refused to join, sitting as a "Green independent". On 29 January 2021, First Minister Greejatus joined the Libertarian Party UK. He remained First Minister.  After suffering from chronic ligma, First Minister Greejatus resigned on 17 April 2021. This lead to his seat being vacated, as well as the seat of antier, who had consistently failed to turn up to Senedd divisions, reducing the size of the Senedd to 58. The Welsh Workers Party also left the government as a result.
The resulting First Minister election was won by model-avery, with the support of Labour, Plaid Cymru and the Welsh Workers' Party. After the dissolution of the Libertarian Party Cymru, the Welsh Conservatives recieved all 8 Libertarian seats in the Senedd. On 27 April 2021, the Cardigan Community Healthcare Advocates Party was formed, with the goal of reopening Cardigan Hospital. On 27 May 2021, the Welsh Workers Party and Democratiaid Cymru merged.
There are 5 regions contested as multi-member constituencies using the D'Hondt system, with each party nominating one candidate for each region. There are 12 seats in each region. MPs will take up either an FPTP seat (more common for major parties) with an example being model-avery's seat of Preseli Pembrokeshire (located in the Mid and West Wales region), or a list seat (more common for minor parties) with an example being Skullduggery12, who took a list seat in South Wales East.
Parties and candidates contesting the election
The close of nominations was on 28 May 2021, and the official list of nominations was released shortly after. 7 political parties contested this election, down from 9 in June 2020. Below is a table of candidates.
|Mid and West Wales||Chi0121||model-avery||Notbestofbest||chainchompsky1||Muffin5136||Aberteifi|
|South Wales Central||Sir_Myself||Its_Mr_Rose||BossleyGaming||Miraiwae||SomeBritishDude26|
|South Wales East||Skullduggery12||model-kyosanto||RhysGwenythIV||LeftyWalrus||KalvinLokan|
|South Wales West||BrexitGlory||Inadorable||scubaguy194||ARichTeaBiscuit||Rohanite272||SpectacularSalad|
There were 2 debates held. The first was a forum style debate from 30 May to 3 June, where the 6 party leaders were invited to take questions from members of the public. The second was a live debate with 3 party representatives in attendance.
|Date scheduled||Organisers||Moderator||P Present[c] S Surrogate[d] NI Not invited A Absent invitee|
|30 May-3 June||Devolved Speaker||Borednerdygamer||P
|3 June||Model News Network||Jay Winterbourne||A
The chart below depicts regional vote opinion polls conducted for the June 2021 Senedd election.
|June 2021 Senedd election||4 June 2021||–||27.4%||27.3%||20.4%||17.3%||6.2%||1.5%||–||–||–||–||0.1%|
|YouGov||BBC Cymru||27 May 2021||1,121||28.8%||31.1%||22.9%||13.1%||3.0%||0.6%||–||–||–||–||2.3%|
|YouGov||BBC Cymru||30 April 2021||1,005||19.1%||25.8%||19.0%||14.1%||0.7%||–||19.5%||1.3%||–||–||6.3%|
|YouGov||South Wales Echo||2 April 2021||1,025||17.4%||19.6%||15.9%||10.9%||–||–||34.5%||1.2%||–||0.4%[f]||14.9%|
|YouGov||BBC Cymru||2 March 2021||1,097||19.4%||24.4%||12.4%||12.9%||–||–||24.5%||1.7%||4.3%||–||0.1%|
|YouGov||WalesOnline||2 February 2021||1,092||19.9%||25.8%||10.2%||17.6%||–||–||17.6%||2.5%||5.6%||–||5.9%|
|December 2020 Senedd election||3 December 2020||–||23.4%||27.8%||10.4%||17.3%||–||–||12.7%||3.9%||1.6%||2.8%[g]||4.4%|
|June 2021 Senedd Election||27.4%||27.3%||20.4%||17.3%||6.2%||1.5%||0.1%|
|June 2021 Senedd Election||15||17||12||11||5||0|
The change in result for Democratiaid Cymru is calculated using Welsh Progressive results from the December 2020 election. The change in result for Plaid Cymru includes the December 2020 result for the Welsh National Party and the Welsh Greens.
Mid and West Wales
|December 2020 Senedd election: Mid and West Wales|
|December 2020 Senedd election: North Wales|
South Wales Central
|December 2020 Senedd election: South Wales Central|
South Wales East
|December 2020 Senedd election: South Wales East|
South Wales West
|December 2020 Senedd election: South Wales West|
- Combined performance of Plaid Cymru, the Welsh Greens, and the Welsh National Party, the latter two having merged into Plaid Cymru.
- As the Welsh Progressives.
- Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
- Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
- Was Welsh Progressives from December 2020 to January 2021.
- Including Llaisiau dros Ewrop on 0.4%.
- Including Welsh Greens on 1.8%, Free Shetland Wales on 0.1% and independents on 0.9%.